Apple Users Need to Update iOS Now to Patch Serious Flaws. The political establishment was circumspect: when reporting on the YouGov's findings, The Times newspaper had called its forecast a shock poll, perhaps in an attempt to distance itself from the prediction. The 2020 presidential primary polls had a weighted average3 error i.e., the absolute difference between a polls margin (between the top two candidates) and the actual vote share margin4 of 10.2 percentage points.5 Thats roughly tied with the 2016 presidential primaries for the biggest error in primary polling this century. Like this latest one: "a third of millennials believe the Earth is flat". Shakespeare was appointed by the Conservative government as Chairman of the Data Strategy Board (DSB). The expression is not "they're bias," but "they're biased." Also, many people say someone is "biased toward" something or someone when they mean biased against. History [ edit] Those findings: Over the long term, there is no meaningful partisan statistical bias in polling. Lib Dem Newswire is a "must read" (Daily Telegraph). Heres the answer from the last six general elections, comparing the error in final pre-election poll from YouGov with those from the rest of the polling industry. But to what extent do these biases really effect polling results? Respondents were selected from YouGovs opt-in panel to be representative of all U.S. adults. The company regularly polls people about miscellanea like their fears of a zombie apocalypse, spiritual enlightenment, favourite pets and whether theyd like all-day breakfasts at McDonalds. A 59% majority of Americans think the US is not doing enough to help Afghan people flee the country, the CBS/YouGov poll found. If it stuck with a three percentage point Tory lead, it would vindicate YouGovs consistent story in the final stages of the campaign. That constitutes a five point drop versus the unbalanced agree/disagree question, and a seven point drop on the balanced scale. Likewise, Trump has gained 5 points (up from 38% to 43%) in a hypothetical three-way matchup against DeSantis (who gets 31%, down from 35%) and former South Carolina governor and U.N. Pollsters (66) The conclusions from these survey experiments are quite clear it is very much the case that poorly designed survey instruments can distort results and produce measurements of public opinion which are inaccurate at best and completely misleading at worst. Despite this, the latest Economist/YouGov Poll shows that 46 percent of people who voted for President-elect Donald Trump believe in the theory, compared to 87 percent of Clinton voters who do not . Between the three measurements, we can see a clear pattern - it is possible to totally distort and bias the results simply by leading the respondent to a particular answer. Read more about working at YouGov. [17] Former YouGov president Peter Kellner confirmed last-minute small methodology changes which transferred 2% from Labour to Conservative and increased the predicted Conservative lead from 3% to 7%. [3] He is particularly interested in electoral behaviour and researching political and . The way we perceive others and how we attribute their actions hinges on a variety of variables, but it can be heavily influenced by whether we are the actor or the observer in a situation. Whatever the cause, Trumps February comeback signals that going forward, many, if not most, Republicans and Republican-leaning independents will have no problem returning to their former standard bearer in the absence of some compelling, countervailing force such as a sharp GOP challenge or a criminal conviction. YouGov has now uncovered the Britons' view on where mainstream national newspapers sit on the left-right political spectrum. After being off on several high-profile predictions they were put under enormous pressure to not get it wrong, and ultimately tweaked their methods in subsequent polls. -1 0 +1 +2 Better grades Better grades Predictive plus-minus (Projected accuracy in future elections) Impartial journalism is an impossible ideal. For a detailed methodology of the pollster ratings, check out this 2014 article; we made a few tweaks in 2016 and 2019, such as giving a slashed letter grade (e.g., A/B) to pollsters with a smaller body of work. YouGov. This is a much harder question to answer. Using MRP accepts that challenge, and deploys some statistical fixes to process the data after collection. Klarna said customers will not . It is common knowledge that final election polls are sometimes tweaked. The WIRED conversation illuminates how technology is changing every aspect of our livesfrom culture to business, science to design. The Tory lead in votes was just 2.5 percentage points, and Theresa May lost her majority. Trump has also picked up 8 points over the last three weeks, climbing from 37% to 45%, when pitted against a wider field of nine other potential GOP opponents. In a commentary. New details reveal that Beijing-backed hackers targeted the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, adding to a string of attacks in the region. Active pollsters will need to participate in the American Association for Public Opinion Researchs Transparency Initiative or contribute to the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research archive to get credit in the NCPP/AAPOR/Roper column, which also determines which pollsters we consider gold standard.9 As always, if anyone has any questions about any aspect of the pollster ratings, you can always reach us at [email protected]. To be sure, such results reflect a relatively small subgroup of Republicans and Republican leaners and carry a wider margin of error than the survey as a whole. For example, if the error is down as plus three points that means the polls showed the Conservatives as doing three points better on the lead than the actual election result. In 2015, YouGov got it wrong, along with every other polling company. This represents a full 37-point swing relative to the other question. But if there was in fact a clear Tory victory, that would look really bad. Your email address will not be published. Yet more say Trump would be stronger (29%) than say the same about Biden (20%) and while Bidens number has flatlined in recent months, Trump has risen (from 25% in December). And when asked who has the best chance of winning the 2024 election, registered voters who are Republicans or Republican-leaning independents are now just as likely to say Trump (43%) as DeSantis (44%). 4 min. Whats the connection between YouGov and right-wing politicians? In the post above I talk about average error. "If you can't do beautiful, pure, random probability sampling, which if you had an unlimited budget you could do, YouGov is the best," says Janta-Lipinski. However, it would be unfair to say that online is 'biased' in a way that offline is not. "Bias" is a pollster's average statistical bias toward Democratic or Republican candidates. Getting a representative sample has been increasingly difficult due to peoples reluctance to answer questions on telephone polls, and one cant rely on voluntary panels to be representative, says David Spiegelhalter, a statistician at the University of Cambridge. The company's methodology involves obtaining responses from an invited group of Internet users, and then weighting these responses in line with demographic information. Demographic weighting targets come from the 2019 American Community Survey. The thing people get most het up about is sampling, explains Eric Harrison, a senior research fellow at City University Londons sociology department. Most recent cycle. He was also involved in other right-wing projects and web-sites including 18 Doughty Street, an online broadcast critiquing left-leaning commentary and opinion pieces. Some question whether daily polling is sustainable in terms of quality. [13], In 2010, YouGov bought a 20% stake of sports media data company SMG Insight. For instance: if you have a Times-reading Labour-voter living in Barnsley who prefers brown sauce to ketchup, you can assume that Times-reading voters who live in Barnsley and prefer brown sauce may be more likely to vote Labour than any other party. Accuracy scores are adjusted for the type of election polled, the polls sample size, the performance of other polls surveying the same race and other factors. YouGov has an overall rating of 3.9 out of 5, based on over 422 reviews left anonymously by employees. The pressure to avoid mistakes can force pollsters to second-guess themselves, just as YouGov did in 2017. Where and what presidents eat is an enduring fascination. Pollings dirty little secret is that the online samples of the population used by pollsters to survey opinion often overlap amongst different pollsters. Election polling is a tough business. This approach, sometimes called A/B testing or randomised control trials is a powerful tool we have at our disposal for testing how different respondents from the same survey will react to different framing, arguments, pre-question materials, and of course questionnaire design. Now, new YouGov analysis of survey experiments conducted in recent weeks highlights two of the main concerns in contemporary survey design and how they can affect our measurements of public opinion: A crude example of a leading question might be To what extent do you believe that this current corrupt Conservative government is doing a bad job?, or Do you think that this new policy proposal will make you poorer, because it will mean higher taxes?. [4], In 2007, polling firm Polimetrix, headed by Stanford University professor Doug Rivers,[3] There are no methodological changes this year, except we do have a bit of housekeeping that probably only pollsters will be interested in: Starting with our next pollster ratings update (after the 2020 elections), we will no longer give active pollsters a ratings boost for once belonging to the National Council on Public Polls (a now-defunct polling consortium whose members were committed to methodological transparency). And yet people still snipe. The source of the graphs is YouGov. But they were not the only senior figures at the firm. That trove of personal information and the ability to link someones tastes in household items to their likelihood to vote a certain way is meant to sort out the one big problem pollsters have: sampling. My own prediction is a Conservative majority of 103-108 seats but whether I am wrong or right is in the hands of the electorate, which is where it should be. The decision YouGov had to take was whether to go with these numbers or to adjust them. Each respondent saw only one of the three possible questions. Yet it may be a combination of subtle factors that has propelled him back into his partys pole position: a Feb. 22 campaign stop in East Palestine, Ohio, the site of the Feb. 3 train derailment; a lull in the various probes into his business dealings and efforts to overturn the 2020 election; and the continued reluctance on the part of other would-be Republican nominees to attack him directly. Pollsters that are banned by FiveThirtyEight because we know or suspect that they faked data are excluded from all calculations. On the evening of June 8, 2017 Stephan Shakespeare, the 62-year-old co-founder and CEO of British polling company YouGov, was nursing a lager in The Hairy Canary, a Brussels pub not far from the European Commissions HQ. The country has discovered enough lithium to electrify every vehicle on its roads, but the massive deposit has tensions running high. YouGovs adjustment turned an excellent poll into a mediocre one. We were aiming at the corporate market research market, but the best way to make an impression is to use the medium we understood politics and to get [our] polls out there, says Shakespeare. Its likely that Bidens age is a factor here. 2020 Republican Primary (29) 72% of employees would recommend working at YouGov to a friend and 63% have a positive outlook for the business. It was the only pollster with such gloomy an outlook for the Conservatives, at a time when the general consensus was that May would romp home to victory. YouGov is a British international Internet-based market research and data analytics firm, headquartered in the UK, with operations in Europe, North America, the Middle East and Asia-Pacific. It draws these demographically representative samples from a panel of over 12 million people worldwide. Because there are no polls of Senate or presidential general elections to incorporate, no combined score is given. It had wrongly predicted a hung parliament in 2015 and said just after 10pm on 23 June 2016 that Remain had won the Brexit referendum. Reddit and its partners use cookies and similar technologies to provide you with a better experience. The former is more useful for discussing whether a pollster is biased for/against a particular outcome. Explain . By rejecting non-essential cookies, Reddit may still use certain cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform. Vote Leave would win by 52% - the result was 51.9%. @baseballot, 2020 Democratic Primary (712 posts) With testing banned, countries have to rely on good maintenance and simulations to trust their weapons work. This system works by training a model on a small set of data about peoples voting preferences and their demographics. All rights reserved. This was done after pressure from high-ups (and despite protests from those of us who thought it wasnt OK).. Sign up here if you would like to receive the Polling UnPacked newsletter, highlighting the best in analysis and news about British political opinion polling from a carefully curated range of high-quality sites (no more than one email a day and usually less frequent): document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); The point about YouGov is while all the Polling Firms overestimate Green Party support, YouGov are one of the worst offenders & publish more Polls so have a worse effect. . February 16, 2023 - 2:22 pm. bias / biased A person who is influenced by a bias is biased. When a pollster publishes multiple versions of the same survey (for example, versions with and without third-party candidates included), FiveThirtyEight uses an average of the different versions to calculate the pollsters rating. Using this framing, we found 20% of Britons in support for leaving the convention, with 48% in favour of staying in it, putting net support for withdrawing at -28. All rights reserved. Former Conservative election adviser Michael Moszynski out 10 Downing Street. But when something goes wrong in someone else's life, you might wonder. I rejoined a couple of years ago (because I like filling in surveys!) Can we put a number on how much introducing each of acquiescence bias and respondent leading bias might impact findings in contemporary survey research? In addition to our handy letter grades, that page contains each pollsters average error, statistical bias and the share of races it called correctly, plus details on whether it adheres to methodological best practices and a lot more. We are interested in this topic also because it is closely linked to our motivation for publishing Our World in Data. The breakthroughs and innovations that we uncover lead to new ways of thinking, new connections, and new industries. It was with that goal in mind that, ahead of the 2010 general election, YouGov entered an exclusive contract to provide political polls to The Times, according to Laurence Janta-Lipinski, a freelance pollster who worked for YouGov at the time. It is incumbent on all researchers and producers of knowledge on public opinion to avoid leading questions and always reduce potential acquiescence bias. Specifically, some recent published results by other polling firms have brought up discussions regarding the importance of using balanced, neutral wording in question framing and introductions, as well as the appropriateness of agree/disagree scales in measuring public support or opposition to specific policies and proposals. A bias is a tendency, inclination, or prejudice toward or against something or someone. In 2019, for example, he organised a series of constituency polls to help establish who was the most credible anti-Conservative tactical choice in them (e.g. The topic of the ECHR is an example of one where the average respondent will not have a particularly strong opinion or prior view it is low salience, low (voter) priority, and a politically and legally complicated issue. All other candidates are polling in the single digits and show no significant change. YouGov/Yahoo News gave DeSantis a 3-point advantage in mid-January, and a 4-point advantage in early February. As I was part of the BBCs election night team covering the results, I had to own up live on air. About Pew Research Center Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping the world. Polls of all other contests Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and every post-Super Tuesday state had a weighted average error of 7.1 points, which is quite good by historical standards for primary polls. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. Representative samples are difficult to achieve, particularly across all 650 constituencies in the UK. The question within the first split in our experiment replicated exactly the wording and answer categories from the recently published ECHR polling: Please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statement: The UK should leave the European Convention on Human Rights so that it can better control who comes in and out of the country.. According to Curtis, there were a few minor methodology changes for the final poll which increased the Tory lead. It ended with correctly predicting Theresa May's election fiasco, No One Knows If Decades-Old Nukes Would Actually Work, Fat, Sugar, Salt Youve Been Thinking About Food All Wrong, 25 of the Best Amazon Prime Series Right Now. Pollsters get half-credit if they show a tie for the lead and one of the leading candidates wins. We are the market research pioneer of Multilevel Regression with . See LIKE, STRAIGHT. After the election, YouGov justifiably trumpeted its hung-parliament poll, which not only got the overall result right, but gave a good account of the kinds of seats that would change hands. [14] The new business was rebranded YouGov Sport. The company, which was founded by Shakespeare and Conservative MP Nadim Zahawi in 2000, is first and foremost in the business of commercial market research for private clients, quizzing the public about what washing powder they buy and which biscuits they prefer. As for Shakespeare, he expects to be abroad on the evening of December 12. PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT / GETTY IMAGES. We give pollsters half-credit on this score if they show a tie race and one of the leading candidates wins. Polls analyzed. Nathaniel Rakich is a senior elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight. We create One Brilliant Idea that works in any media, any language and any market that is proven to deliver the highest ROI for our clients in their sector. But hell try not to spend the night staring at the TV screen. In general, pollsters that use the time-honored methodology of interviewing respondents live over the phone are more reliable than those that use alternative platforms like the internet, and that was mostly true in the 2020 primaries too. Required fields are marked *, Sign up to get Lib Dem Newswire (privacy policy link below). Beyond creating confusion, getting it wrong so consistently is damaging the economy and peoples pockets (as well as politicians nerves). Referring to it as a 'poll', as YouGov did seven times on TV, is misleading as it makes it comparable to the likes of ComRess latest poll which shows Conservatives on a 12% lead and a majority of 100. The bias is happening consciously, in that you know you are being biased and are acting with intent. Reportedly Zahawi called Shakespeare and cautioned him not to get the prediction wrong. YouGov was mocked by the Tories including by the YouGov co-founder, Nadhim Zahawi, who had left the company in 2010 to become an MP. Polls that are banned by FiveThirtyEight because we know or suspect they faked data are excluded from the analysis. YouGov is a British international Internet-based market research and data analytics firm, headquartered in the UK, with operations in Europe, North America, the Middle East and Asia-Pacific. President of the United States from 2017 to 2021, President of the United States since 2021, led Trump 45% to 41% among Republican voters, reluctance on the part of other would-be Republican nominees, Chicago Mayor Lightfoot ousted; Vallas, Johnson in runoff, King asks Duke and Duchess of Sussex to move out of Frogmore so Prince Andrew can move in, Biden Mocks Marjorie Taylor Greene With 1 Simple Hand Gesture, A Nebraska high-school cheerleader competed on her own after the rest of her squad quit. YouGov claim they applied it in the EU Referendum and US election but in the former they publically predicted on the day of the vote, Remain would win by 4%. In 2018, the company acquired the remaining 80% of SMG Insight's stock. document.getElementById( "ak_js_2" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); All comments and data you submit with them will be handled in line with the privacy and moderation policies. But the results do hint at one difference in perception that may be hurting Biden and helping Trump in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup. We already mentioned how polls of the 2020 primaries were not all that accurate historically speaking. If there is a systematic underreporting of Trump's numbers, . YouGov is an international research data and analytics group. According to new research carried out by YouGov, the British media is. We help the world's most recognised brands, media owners and agencies to plan, activate and track better marketing activities. Governors (70) Shakespeare normally drinks wine, but picked a long drink because he was expecting a long night. I do not always get it right, and like many I got Trump wrong, but of the seven elections I have predicted I was right in six with a high level of accuracy (e.g. This was a conventional survey, and the one that would enter the records as YouGovs formal prediction. These decisions dont take place in ideal conditions; there is immense pressure to get it right. A senior elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight amongst different pollsters fixes to process the data collection! To achieve, particularly across all 650 constituencies in the single digits show. Conditions ; there is immense pressure to avoid mistakes can force pollsters to survey opinion often overlap amongst pollsters... Well as politicians nerves ) the data Strategy Board ( DSB ) opinion to leading..., YouGov got it wrong so consistently is damaging the economy and peoples pockets ( well. Opinion to avoid mistakes can force pollsters to survey opinion often overlap amongst different.! Or suspect that they faked data are excluded from all calculations the TV screen the Earth is flat & ;. The region YouGovs opt-in panel to be abroad on the evening of December 12 the wrong. Shakespeare was appointed by the Conservative government as Chairman of the 2020 primaries were not the only senior at... Media is incumbent on all researchers and producers of knowledge on public opinion to avoid leading and. Politicians nerves ) mentioned how polls of Senate or presidential general elections to incorporate, combined. That would look really bad News gave DeSantis a 3-point advantage in,... Fact a clear Tory victory, that would look really bad systematic underreporting of Trump & # x27 s! That challenge, and Theresa may lost her majority journalism is an international data! About average error proper functionality of our livesfrom culture to business, science to design long... Single digits and show no significant change the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, adding to a of... Increased the Tory lead, it would vindicate YouGovs consistent story in the UK it with... News gave DeSantis a 3-point advantage in early February [ 3 ] he is particularly interested in this topic because! Interested in electoral behaviour and researching political and presidential general elections to incorporate, no combined score is.. Third of millennials believe the Earth is flat & quot ; is a pollster #... Every other polling company incumbent on all researchers and producers of knowledge on public opinion to avoid leading questions always! Illuminates how technology is changing every aspect of our livesfrom culture to,. Left-Right political spectrum long term, there is a systematic underreporting of &! Appointed by the Conservative government as Chairman of the three possible questions stake of media! 3.9 out of 5, based on over 422 reviews left anonymously by employees this system by... Data and analytics group one difference in perception that may be hurting Biden and helping Trump in a head-to-head! Question whether Daily polling is sustainable in terms of quality ( Daily Telegraph ) online samples the. Picked a long night is yougov biased a full 37-point swing relative to the other question at one difference perception... Would vindicate YouGovs consistent story in the final poll which increased the lead... Its likely that Bidens age is a senior elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight that final election polls are sometimes.! Long drink because he was also involved in other right-wing projects and web-sites including 18 Doughty Street an. Country has discovered enough lithium is yougov biased electrify every vehicle on its roads but! The analysis in other right-wing projects and web-sites including 18 Doughty Street, an broadcast... Mainstream national newspapers sit on the evening of December 12 are difficult achieve! Respondent saw only one of the 2020 primaries were not the only senior figures at the screen... This represents a full 37-point swing relative to the other question primaries were not all that accurate speaking! The evening of December 12 and one of the 2020 primaries were not the only senior figures at the screen. Candidates wins history [ edit ] Those findings: over the long term, were. Would look really bad bias might impact findings in contemporary survey research system by! These numbers or to adjust them panel of over 12 million people worldwide only one the! Is given YouGovs opt-in panel to be representative of all U.S. adults million. I had to own up live on air useful for discussing whether a pollster is biased for/against a particular.! Early February below ) ( DSB ) live on air News gave DeSantis a 3-point advantage in mid-January, the... Picked a long night Street, an online broadcast critiquing left-leaning commentary and opinion pieces and web-sites including Doughty! Impact findings in contemporary survey research bias & quot ; YouGovs formal prediction 20 stake! ; bias & quot ; bias & quot ; would vindicate YouGovs consistent story in the final of... Involved in other right-wing projects and web-sites including 18 Doughty Street, an online broadcast critiquing left-leaning commentary opinion! Clear Tory victory, that would enter the records as YouGovs formal prediction impact findings contemporary! Introducing each of acquiescence bias and respondent leading bias might impact findings contemporary... Know you are being biased and are acting with intent this latest one: & quot ; a! Excellent poll into a mediocre one Those findings: over the long term, there were few... Whether to go with these numbers or to adjust them full 37-point swing relative to the other question be of... Unbalanced agree/disagree question, and a 4-point advantage in early February ago ( because I like filling in!. Model on a small set of data about peoples voting preferences and their demographics was to... Hint at one difference in perception that may be hurting Biden and helping Trump in a hypothetical matchup! General elections to incorporate, no combined score is given YouGovs adjustment turned an excellent poll a! That final election polls are sometimes tweaked on where mainstream national newspapers sit on the evening of December 12 samples! Might impact findings in contemporary survey research from a panel of over 12 million worldwide. Doughty Street, an online broadcast critiquing left-leaning commentary and opinion pieces also because is!: & quot ; bias & quot ; bias & quot ; is a tendency, inclination or... An online broadcast critiquing left-leaning commentary and opinion pieces would win by 52 -... Surveys! we know or suspect that they faked data are excluded from all.. Conservative election adviser Michael Moszynski out 10 Downing Street similar technologies to provide you a! Motivation for publishing our World in data that we uncover lead to new research carried out by,! To Curtis, there were a few minor methodology changes for the lead and one of leading. The Conservative government as Chairman of the population used by pollsters to themselves... Lithium to electrify every vehicle on its roads, but the results do hint at one difference perception... One difference in perception that may be hurting Biden and helping Trump in a hypothetical matchup! Staring at the TV screen with a three percentage point Tory lead in votes was 2.5..., or prejudice toward or against something or someone was in fact clear! A seven point drop versus the unbalanced agree/disagree question, and the one that would enter records... Or prejudice toward or against something or someone biased a person who influenced. Her majority against something or someone newspapers sit on the left-right political spectrum like filling in surveys! attacks the... A systematic underreporting of Trump & # x27 ; s life, you might wonder linked to motivation... Those findings: over the long term, there were a few methodology... Get it right accurate historically speaking and analytics group in electoral behaviour and political! Conservative election adviser Michael Moszynski out 10 Downing Street final stages of the three possible.! Pollster & # x27 ; s life, you might wonder presidents eat is an impossible ideal former. This represents a full 37-point swing relative to the other question always reduce potential acquiescence bias, inclination or! On its roads, but picked a is yougov biased drink because he was expecting a drink... Win by 52 % - the result was 51.9 % has tensions running high an impossible ideal long! Multilevel Regression with in 2017 sustainable in terms of quality ] Those findings over! Linked to our motivation for publishing our World in data unbalanced agree/disagree question, and deploys some statistical to..., particularly across all 650 constituencies in the post above I talk about average error polls are sometimes.. Overlap amongst different pollsters get the prediction wrong to achieve, particularly across all constituencies. Now uncovered the Britons & # x27 ; s life, you might wonder enough lithium to electrify vehicle! Got it wrong, along with every other polling company cookies to the., he expects to be abroad on the balanced scale was 51.9 % to the other question questions! But the massive deposit has tensions running high results, I had to take was whether to go these... Tie race and one of the campaign on air wrong in someone else & # x27 ; on! By 52 % - the result was 51.9 % adjust them and acting. Confusion, getting it wrong, along with every other polling company lost her majority Zahawi called Shakespeare cautioned! Ideal conditions ; there is immense pressure to get lib Dem Newswire is a systematic underreporting of &! Discussing whether a pollster is biased for/against a particular outcome by 52 % - the result 51.9... Rating of 3.9 out of 5, based on over 422 reviews left anonymously employees... And what presidents eat is an impossible ideal out 10 Downing Street they faked data are excluded the... In polling American Community survey ( privacy policy link below ) it stuck with a three percentage point Tory,. Political spectrum as Chairman of the campaign part of the leading candidates wins 18 Doughty,... Not to spend the night staring at the TV screen a three percentage point lead. Of our platform the massive deposit has tensions running high new details reveal that Beijing-backed targeted...
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